Guide

BetWiz is a data-driven tool for estimating match probabilities, comparing bookmaker odds, and simulating decision and bankroll management strategies.

What is BetWiz?

BetWiz is an analytics and simulation platform. It does not accept bets and it is not a bookmaker. Instead, it helps you make better decisions by highlighting when an offered odds line may be mispriced relative to the estimated probability.

Not tips

No “sure wins”. We focus on long-term statistical edge, not single-match outcomes.

Data-first

We estimate probabilities, aggregate odds, and highlight discrepancies that may indicate value.

Simulation

Test strategies and bankroll management in-app before taking any action with a third-party sportsbook.

How it works

  1. Probability model: BetWiz estimates the probability of outcomes for upcoming matches.
  2. Odds aggregation: We collect odds from multiple bookmakers and standardize them for comparison.
  3. Value detection: If the offered odds imply a lower probability than our estimate, the position may have positive expected value.
  4. Staking suggestion: Based on your selected strategy and bankroll, BetWiz suggests a stake size for simulation purposes only.

What is a positive expected value position?

A positive expected value position occurs when the odds offered by a bookmaker are higher than what the true probability would justify. Over time, repeatedly identifying positive expected value positions is the foundation of disciplined, data-driven decision making.

Simple example

If the model estimates a 60% chance for an outcome, the “fair” odds are about 1.67. If a bookmaker offers 2.10, the odds may be mispriced relative to the estimated probability.

Staking strategies

Identifying opportunities is only part of the process. Bankroll management and stake sizing are what make results sustainable over time.

  • Flat bet — A constant stake size for each bet. Simple and stable.
  • Kelly Criterion — A mathematical approach that adjusts stake size based on edge and odds. Available as Full Kelly, Half Kelly, and Quarter Kelly.
  • Percentage staking — Stakes a fixed percentage of your bankroll on each bet.

Simulation mode

BetWiz lets you simulate betting with suggested stakes and track performance over time. This helps you evaluate strategies without risking real money.

If you decide to take action with a third-party sportsbook, you do so independently. BetWiz only provides analytical outputs and simulation tools — you remain fully in control of any external actions.

Who is this for?

Good fit if you:

  • Prefer data over intuition
  • Think long-term
  • Want structured bankroll management
  • Like testing strategies via simulation

Not a fit if you want:

  • Guaranteed wins
  • Quick profit promises
  • Single-match certainty

Important disclaimer

BetWiz is an analytics and simulation tool. It does not guarantee profits and it does not eliminate risk. It does not provide financial, investment, or gambling advice and is not regulated as a betting or gambling service. All decisions and any third-party actions remain your responsibility.